In a series of blogs, our experts look back on an exceptionally volatile first half, then offer their insights on what we might expect to see for the balance of the year. Let’s start with a high-level overview.
Last week, we covered my concerns about AI’s impact on jobs. This week, we’ll take a look at its impact on energy demand and who pays for that energy.
Despite continued economic resilience, the political storm brewing between President Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Powell has taken center stage.
We’re not surprised by the macro and market resilience, but it’s too soon to say we’re out of the woods, especially as the impact of uneven fiscal policy comes into sharper focus. Opportunities are out there, but context and discipline are critical.
Local currency rates and FX screen very attractive, while hard currency credit is neutral.
In this video, Chuck Carnevale, co-founder of FAST Graphs, aka Mr. Valuation analyzes Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) using the FAST Graphs tool.
Trade tensions spread to the copper and pharmaceutical markets.
The AI revolution is here. And for financial advisors, it's important to know AI is impacting the career paths of clients and their children.
Vanguard's Investment Strategy Group explores the emotional and time-saving benefits that investors can derive from professional financial advice. In general, advised clients report getting emotional value as well as spending less time thinking about and dealing with their finances.
The Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) is one of the oldest and is the fifth-largest ETF. Pending shareholder approval, the $350 billion fund is about to get cheaper and modernize.
With our most reliable stock market valuation measures at the highest extremes in U.S. history, it’s useful for investors to remember that a market crash is nothing but risk-aversion meeting a market that is not priced to tolerate risk.
Ignoring U.S. healthcare problems won't make them go away.
We continue to maintain a Marketperform rating on all sectors, a position we adopted in April after the White House unveiled a policy of steep but fluctuating global tariffs.
As we move into the second half of 2025, it is an opportune moment to reassess our market outlook and provide updated insights for investors.
Congressional Republicans delivered the much anticipated One Big, Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) to President Trump’s desk just in time for a symbolic July 4 signing.
Chief Economist Eugenio J. Alemán discusses current economic conditions.
U.S. customs duties topped $100 billion for the first time ever in a single year this month. That number is even more remarkable when you consider that most of President Donald Trump’s new tariffs haven’t even taken full effect yet.
Every year the Per Jacobsson Foundation hosts and publishes a lecture on Monetary Policy. Back in 1979, Arthur Burns delivered the annual lecture in Belgrade, Yugoslavia (link). He titled the lecture “The Anguish of Central Banking” and he came clean about the Federal Reserve’s inflationary policies in the 1970s.
GMO has posted a new 7-Year asset class forecast as of June 30, 2025.
Although investing in in-state municipal bonds may have tax advantages, there can be good reasons to buy out-of-state munis.
Few are as candid and historically accurate as hedge fund manager Kyle Bass when identifying structural breaks in the global economy. In a recent interview, Bass painted a grim but telling picture of China’s economic condition, warning.
Unfortunately, the lush financial terrain we enjoyed from 2008 to 2022 was more like artificial turf. It wears out, gets ugly holes, and eventually needs replacement. But how to replace it without causing other problems? That turns out to be a real problem.
Investors enjoyed broad gains across major asset classes in the first half of this year, but they endured considerable market swings to earn those returns.
On this week’s edition of Market Week in Review, Global Chief Investment Strategist Paul Eitelman discussed key drivers behind the stock market rally.
Will he or won’t he? That’s the question on investors’ minds as tensions rise between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
While uncertainty gradually eased in the second quarter, the sustained decline in the US dollar and the ongoing changes in the geopolitical order indicate that markets may continue to be dynamic and offer opportunities for a variety of hedge fund strategies, as well as heightened risks.
Last week's economic data presented a picture of consumer resilience emerging alongside the continued challenge of rising inflation.
Tepid gains notched by the real estate sector are largely viewed as the result of tariff turbulence. But some market observers believe real estate investment trusts (REITs) could prove sturdy if trade tensions are renewed.
As if semiconductors didn’t need more momentum, the passage of “One Big Beautiful Bill” could keep investors dipping into chips. In turn, traders may want to watch a few leveraged products from Direxion.
The sweeping 900-page tax and spending law signed on July 4 introduces a wide array of provisions that touch nearly every American in one way or another.
As central banks scramble to increase their gold reserves, many are turning to domestic mine production to save money, support local industry, and expand their reserves.
Volatility often evokes emotional responses from investors. Two big sell-offs in early 2025 reminded us why it’s important to fight those responses and stay invested through downturns.
Current volatility and optimism are some of the topics being discussed in this new roundtable from Royce Investment Partners.
July didn’t need to reach the halfway point before bitcoin notched double-digit gains.
When you have a significant underperformance period, investors have a good reason for wondering if you’ve lost your investing mojo.
As of June 2025, the relative valuation of the cheapest 50% of the U.S. stock market compared to the expensive half is at the 3rd percentile in our 40+ years of data.
Many advisors undercharge out of fear, but increasing fees to match your value strengthens client relationships and ensures you’re rewarded for the services you provide.
Last week, Nvidia—whose processors are a key driver of the AI wave—became the world’s first publicly traded company to hit $4 trillion in market value.
The second quarter featured a trade war, armed conflicts in the Middle East and Europe, and continued turmoil in Washington, yet markets continued to rally, likely due to an elevated money supply and an increase in passive investing.
Contrary to popular belief, investors can use TradFi best practices to analyze on-chain KPIs of DeFi networks and the underlying fundamentals of the tokens that drive them.
The capital markets have become an increasingly complex space for investors, complexities that are heightened by the sheer number of ways one can invest.
With inflation proving to be sticky, sovereign debt burdens escalating, and trust in institutions coming under scrutiny, investors are reassessing the role that hard assets play in protecting and preserving long-term purchasing power.
Not sure which to choose? Here are some things to consider about individual bonds vs. bond funds.
If owning a specific stock is keeping you up at night, then it’s time to sell.
As inflation concerns continue to influence 2025 market dynamics, investors seek equity-based strategies to provide rising-price protection.
U.S. trade policy movements are starting to resemble a soap opera. Following a series of threats, escalations and suspensions, President Trump has extended the tariff deadline to August 1.
June was a month of stabilization and subtle strength for preferreds.
We have a truly inspiring corporate leader among the companies in our portfolio. We don’t believe the global equity markets have realized it yet.
Three themes are worth emphasizing as we reach the midpoint of 2025: tariffs, interest rates, and global diversification. We emphasize these themes even amid recent heightened geopolitical tensions.
Global equity markets swung from steep losses to fresh highs during the quarter. In early April, President Trump imposed a baseline 10% tariff and reciprocal tariffs of up to 50% on dozens of trading partners, only to suspend most reciprocal tariffs for 90 days amid market panic.
