New policies could disrupt markets, but high starting yields and strong demand for income should provide ballast.
With all eyes focused on the White House, investors must decide what the incoming President’s policies will mean for markets and how to position accordingly. Ahead of the inauguration, we asked our portfolio managers what they think should be front of mind.
The calendar page has turned, and that means we have the opportunity to get 2025 off to a good start.
European bond markets are climbing a mountain of worry. Despite the risks, history suggests a positive outcome.
Continued volatility, falling yields, and other expectations for the year ahead, plus seven strategies to take advantage.
Fixed income is top of mind as investors look to a new interest rate regime. Sylvia Yeh dives into the outlook for 2025.
We prefer equities over fixed income, in particular U.S. equities as the outlook for the U.S. economy is solid and promising.
As the year comes to a close, we revisit some of the key market themes and moves for 2024 and the year ahead.
On Friday December 6th, the U.S. stock market pushed to the most extreme level of valuation in U.S. history
Short-term bond exchange-traded funds (ETFs) can provide yield seekers with a viable alternative to money market funds.
How a diversified liquidity strategy might help time-strapped corporate treasurers reduce vulnerabilities and improve adaptability in uncertain markets while maintaining access to cash.
Portfolio managers and market strategists from Payden & Rygel review the opportunities and risks ahead for four bond market sectors: high yield, emerging markets, global bonds and low duration securities.
Might another market liquidity event be on the horizon? While there is generally good liquidity in the financial system, there are some nascent signs that problems could arise.
On this episode of the “ETF of the Week” podcast, VettaFi’s Head of Research Todd Rosenbluth discussed the Neuberger Berman Short Duration Income ETF (NBSD) with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life. The pair discussed several topics related to the fund to give investors a deeper understanding of the ETF overall.
Dan Suzuki analyzes current and historical trends in investors' stock, bond, and cash holdings to assess whether this "cash on the sidelines" narrative could be a valid catalyst for pushing the stock market to new highs.
Assets in money market funds reached an all-time high of $7 trillion this past month. Now that rates are moving lower, money market yields may not be as attractive to many investors and assets may gradually leave money funds.
A couple of weeks ago, we wrote about how the deficit had come back into focus for the U.S. financial markets.
We launched QuantStreet a little over three years ago, and our first accounts went live as of December 2021.
The money-market industry just reached a significant milestone with Crane Data reporting that these cash-like funds have amassed a record $7 trillion in assets. There are many ways to think about this development.
In the weeks surrounding the US election, US bond yields climbed sharply, reflecting speculation that President-elect Trump’s policies could lead to higher inflation and a widening federal deficit.
The inverse correlation between bonds and stocks has returned, broadening potential for risk-adjusted returns in multi-asset portfolios.
We seek to capitalize on today’s attractive yields while staying mindful of economic and market uncertainties.
Texas Capital’s Carlos Pena highlights an industry first, the Texas Capital Government Money Market ETF (MMKT). VettaFi’s Stacey Morris takes a deep dive into the world of energy ETFs and offers a preview of the energy sector in 2025.
Your fixed income strategy does not necessarily need to be adjusted based on every personnel or environmental change.
Recent insights from Natixis Investment Managers breaks down a few fixed income risks that investors may not be aware of.
BlackRock Inc. is throwing its weight behind an early push to bring exchange-traded funds to money-market investors.
VettaFi’s Head of Research Todd Rosenbluth discussed the Calamos S&P 500® Structured Alt Protection ETF – November (CPSN) on this week’s “ETF of the Week” podcast with Chuck Jaffe of “Money Life.”
Stocks rose at the end of their best week in 2024 after solid consumer sentiment data and bets that newly elected President Donald Trump’s pro-growth agenda will keep fueling Corporate America.
Investors have been married to their money market funds for the better part of the last two years.
Things are looking up for bonds - learn what makes them a great addition to your portfolio right now.
Here we are, another calendar quarter down with one more to go in 2024, and investors have yet to see a “hard landing” emerge.
To understand the wave of bank partnerships with private-credit fund managers during the past year or so, think back to the boom in mortgage lending through securitization in the early 2000s. The same forces are at work: a huge demand for finance, limited and costly bank capital and investment bankers’ ingenuity and desire to generate business.
Volatile interest rates have spurred investment capital into motion. Clients often ask where they should allocate on the yield curve.
The FOMC lowered the Fed Funds rate by 50 basis points at their September meeting. This was the first cut in over four years and the start of what is expected to be a multi-year easing cycle.
It's important to stay informed regarding the latest updates to 529 college savings plans, for both current account holders and prospective savers. In recent years there have been significant changes, including The Setting Every Community Up for Retirement Enhancement (SECURE) 2.0 Act in December of 2022, which helps enhance the flexibility and benefits of 529 plans.
The tendency to blindly follow these rules has led investors towards prematurely de-risking and over-estimating the likelihood of recession.
Fed easing cycles and lowered target interest rates impact various economic sectors, such as mortgages, consumer credit and cash investments.
One of most dangerous habits of a speculative crowd is the tendency to use unconditional averages and unconditional probabilities regardless of how extreme market conditions have become. This is like stepping into a house with two rooms, one with the temperature at 0 degrees and one at 140 degrees, and expecting a temperature of 70 either way.
Turbulent market conditions can make anyone nervous. Here's what investors should know about dealing with them.
Cash strategies may seem safe, but inflation can bite into returns. Instead, investors can try to outperform inflation with equities.
U.S. stocks have handily outperformed their global peers over the past few decades, as well as in the post-World War II period. We document the scale of the outperformance and ask whether it can continue.
Everything I’ve learned and experienced in 50+ years of watching the economy tells me not to expect a soft landing. But maybe that’s because I’ve never actually seen one.
As the Fed shifts its stance, investors must now weigh the broader economic implications.
After the Fed's 50-basis-point rate cut, big banks kick off earnings season amid fears that lower rates could hurt the net-interest income that propelled growth the last two years.
We are currently in the “everything market.” It doesn’t matter what you have probably invested in; it is currently increasing in value. However, it isn’t likely for the reasons you think. A recent Marketwatch interview with the always bullish Jim Paulson got his reasoning for the rally.
We expect bond yields to trend gradually lower—but it may be a bumpy ride. These seven strategies may help investors take advantage.
We believe municipal bonds currently offer a compelling balance of risk and reward for investors in higher tax brackets.
While agency mortgage-backed securities offer compelling valuations, not every mortgage is created equally.
The last two years brought challenges for investors across all walks of life, but particularly for retirees.
A new exchange-traded fund attempting to carve out a slice of the $6.3 trillion sitting in traditional money-market funds is launching Wednesday.
Fixed income strategy and opportunities have remained relatively unchanged over the past few months. However, the much-talked-about monetary policy change has commenced.
On September 18, the Federal Reserve cut the Federal funds rate, as expected, announcing at the same time that the Fed will continue to reduce its balance sheet. In my view, both of these decisions were appropriate. The Fed reduced short-term rates by 50 basis points, which was consistent with economic conditions that remain near the threshold of recession.
Since mid-2022, when the Federal Reserve was in the midst of its aggressive hiking cycle, investors piled over $1.6 trillion into money market funds, which include Treasury bills.
As GMO celebrates its 30th anniversary managing emerging debt this year, we offer our comprehensive guide to emerging debt markets. Given the tumultuous recent events – a global pandemic, defaults, repricing of interest rates, relentless strength in the U.S. dollar – we’ll focus on the Why as a starting point. Then we’ll dive into the proliferating How, covering strategies and vehicles.
With the decision on Wednesday to lower interest rates (for the first time since March of 2020) by a substantial 50 basis points (bps), rather than the 25 bps cut we typically see at the beginning of an easing cycle, the Fed is showing confidence that the disinflation trend will continue.
The yield curve measures the difference between short-term, intermediate-term, and long-term Treasury yields.
Investors are using their massive cash piles to lock in attractive yields in global bond markets, helping to limit losses in the asset class, according to Mohamed El-Erian.
Regardless of which administration takes power after an election, a balanced portfolio has made strong gains in the years immediately after.
On the back of recent cooling in economic growth, an uptick in unemployment, and moderating inflation, the Federal Reserve (Fed) looks set to begin its rate-cutting cycle at its September meeting.
We are entering a time I think will include a deep crisis. We are going to need each other. We really do need to “find our tribe.”
We often write about the opportunity for fixed income investors to lock in relatively attractive long-term rates. And we would argue that investment consultants and financial advisors have no more important charge than to convince their clients to take advantage of this while they still can.
When we’re viewing markets, it’s not surprising sentiment shifts quickly if we don’t instantly see the anticipated results. Market pundits quickly point fingers and determine the Fed, economists, and participants are wrong. Reactions can be powerful in number and sway momentum for stocks and/or bonds.
On this episode of the “ETF of the Week” podcast, VettaFi’s Head of Research Todd Rosenbluth discussed the JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF (JPST) with Chuck Jaffe of “Money Life.” The pair talked about several topics regarding the fund to give investors a deeper understanding of the ETF overall.
As tax season draws nearer, advisors and investors increasingly look to their portfolio to optimize exposures for taxation purposes.
The level of U.S. Treasury yields and the changing shape of the Treasury yield curve provide investors with critical feedback regarding the market’s expectations for economic growth, inflation, and monetary policy
Elevated budget deficits imply growing US Treasury issuance. Receding demand from central banks could leave more price-sensitive buyers to pick up the slack. Who are the buyers of US government debt, and how is the market responding? In part two of our series, let’s examine Treasury market supply and demand.
It’s been the ultimate no-brainer for more than a year: Park your money in super-safe Treasury bills, earn yields of more than 5%, rinse and repeat. Or as billionaire bond investor Jeffrey Gundlach put it last October, “T-bill and chill.”
A recent article co-authored by Stephen Miran and Dr. Nouriel Roubini, aka Dr. Doom, accuses the U.S. Treasury Department of using its debt-issuance powers to manipulate financial conditions.
When US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks at next week’s annual economic conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, people will be listening intently for any hint about what the central bank will do with interest rates at its September policy making meeting.
The KraneShares Sustainable Ultra Short Duration Index ETF (KCSH) offers low risk income investing with notable yields and diversification.
The flexibility offered through individual bonds translates well for tailoring individual financial goals and needs.
Hastily, investors have turned their worry about inflation into worry about a recession. The catalyst was Friday’s unexpectedly disappointing unemployment number.
State Street’s George Milling-Stanley goes in-depth on the current gold market, physical gold ETFs, and crypto. VettaFi’s Roxanna Islam explores the world of defined outcome ETFs.
Dollar cost averaging involves committing money to the stock market gradually, rather than all at once. This time spent out of the market leads to lower returns, but also to commensurately lower risk.
The members of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) are probably not intimately familiar with Taylor Swift’s back catalogue. If they were, Swift’s hit “Cruel Summer” may have been ringing in their ears when cutting rates today for the first time since March 2020.
Today’s passive index investing requires active choices, as customization and innovations in index funds have resulted in new considerations for investors and the potential for greater control.
Jeff and Ron discuss the state of the economy, inflation, the bond and stock markets, and they outline, in broad terms, their current investments.
We are approaching a turning point in policy decisions as the FOMC attempts to walk the fine line of hitting their inflation targets while maintaining a healthy labor market.
Volatility is back — at least a little — heading in to a week filled with central bank interest-rate decisions and quarterly earnings for some of the world’s biggest companies.
It's been another strong first half for the U.S. ETF industry, with overall flows set to challenge or surpass historic records.
The momentum we've seen in U.S. equity markets over the past year continued in the second quarter of 2024. With large technology stocks leading the wave, the S&P 500 index has risen 23% in the 12 months ended June 30.
Investors flocked to the US Treasury’s monthly sale of two-year notes in a powerful demonstration of faith in Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts beginning this year.
A recent Financial Times opinion piece laid out how illiquidity makes private equity hazardous for investors. The Bank of England’s Nathanaël Benjamin warns private equity illiquidity is a systemic risk to the financial system.
There are many advantages and risks associated with any investment. Whether you are buying a stock, a house, a business, or a bond, each investment has unique characteristics that allow an investor to gain from particular investment features with varying risks.
The stock market is not a balloon that gets bigger when money “flows into” it. It doesn’t get smaller because money “flows out” of it. Holding the number of shares constant, the stock market gets bigger if investors pay a higher price for those shares. Period.
Relatively high yields mean investors who have been focusing on short-term securities wouldn't need to sacrifice much yield if they chose MBS to help limit their reinvestment risk.
A Structured Protection ETF like CPRJ can offer robust tax benefits for investors seeking to move cash or get exposure to small-cap equities.
Portfolio Manager Daniel Siluk believes subsiding inflation and declining interest rates underpin a compelling argument for investors to reallocate funds away from money market strategies toward shorter-dated bonds.
In the post-pandemic fiscal landscape, government debt trajectories may be volatile, but appear broadly sustainable.
Conflicts are everywhere in financial planning. They exist in all fee models, whether they be commissions, assets under management, fixed fee, or hourly. Any time money changes hands there are conflicts of interests.
Cash and Short-Term Funds
2025 Credit Outlook: On Firm Ground, Despite Shifting Political Sands
New policies could disrupt markets, but high starting yields and strong demand for income should provide ballast.
Investment Considerations for the Second Trump Presidency
With all eyes focused on the White House, investors must decide what the incoming President’s policies will mean for markets and how to position accordingly. Ahead of the inauguration, we asked our portfolio managers what they think should be front of mind.
Tax Planning in 2025: Five Key Topics to Discuss With Your Clients Now
The calendar page has turned, and that means we have the opportunity to get 2025 off to a good start.
European Fixed-Income Outlook 2025: Adversity, Uncertainty, Opportunity
European bond markets are climbing a mountain of worry. Despite the risks, history suggests a positive outcome.
Fixed-Income Outlook 2025: Fertile Ground
Continued volatility, falling yields, and other expectations for the year ahead, plus seven strategies to take advantage.
Muni Bonds in a New Interest Rate Regime
Fixed income is top of mind as investors look to a new interest rate regime. Sylvia Yeh dives into the outlook for 2025.
High Hopes, Solid Grounds
We prefer equities over fixed income, in particular U.S. equities as the outlook for the U.S. economy is solid and promising.
Notes From the Desk: Fixed Income Year in Review
As the year comes to a close, we revisit some of the key market themes and moves for 2024 and the year ahead.
Ring Out, Wild Bells
On Friday December 6th, the U.S. stock market pushed to the most extreme level of valuation in U.S. history
A Higher-Yielding Alternative to Money Market Funds
Short-term bond exchange-traded funds (ETFs) can provide yield seekers with a viable alternative to money market funds.
Treasurers: Balancing Liquidity, Diversification, and Daily Demands
How a diversified liquidity strategy might help time-strapped corporate treasurers reduce vulnerabilities and improve adaptability in uncertain markets while maintaining access to cash.
What’s Ahead for Fixed Income in 2025?
Portfolio managers and market strategists from Payden & Rygel review the opportunities and risks ahead for four bond market sectors: high yield, emerging markets, global bonds and low duration securities.
Frontrunning the Fed: Liquidity Is Worth Watching
Might another market liquidity event be on the horizon? While there is generally good liquidity in the financial system, there are some nascent signs that problems could arise.
Neuberger Berman Short Duration Income ETF (NBSD)
On this episode of the “ETF of the Week” podcast, VettaFi’s Head of Research Todd Rosenbluth discussed the Neuberger Berman Short Duration Income ETF (NBSD) with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life. The pair discussed several topics related to the fund to give investors a deeper understanding of the ETF overall.
How Much Cash Is Really on the Sidelines?
Dan Suzuki analyzes current and historical trends in investors' stock, bond, and cash holdings to assess whether this "cash on the sidelines" narrative could be a valid catalyst for pushing the stock market to new highs.
Rethinking Cash
Assets in money market funds reached an all-time high of $7 trillion this past month. Now that rates are moving lower, money market yields may not be as attractive to many investors and assets may gradually leave money funds.
When Will the “Bill” Come Due?
A couple of weeks ago, we wrote about how the deficit had come back into focus for the U.S. financial markets.
QuantStreet December 2024 Letter: Our Three-Year Anniversary
We launched QuantStreet a little over three years ago, and our first accounts went live as of December 2021.
This $7 Trillion Pile Won’t Save the Bulls
The money-market industry just reached a significant milestone with Crane Data reporting that these cash-like funds have amassed a record $7 trillion in assets. There are many ways to think about this development.
Three Ways Investors Can Capitalize on Election-Driven Rate Volatility
In the weeks surrounding the US election, US bond yields climbed sharply, reflecting speculation that President-elect Trump’s policies could lead to higher inflation and a widening federal deficit.
Negative Correlations, Positive Allocations
The inverse correlation between bonds and stocks has returned, broadening potential for risk-adjusted returns in multi-asset portfolios.
Income Fund Update: Navigating Rate Cuts With Flexibility and a High Quality Focus
We seek to capitalize on today’s attractive yields while staying mindful of economic and market uncertainties.
Texas Capital’s Carlos Pena Highlights First Money Market ETF
Texas Capital’s Carlos Pena highlights an industry first, the Texas Capital Government Money Market ETF (MMKT). VettaFi’s Stacey Morris takes a deep dive into the world of energy ETFs and offers a preview of the energy sector in 2025.
Resist Short-Term Temptations
Your fixed income strategy does not necessarily need to be adjusted based on every personnel or environmental change.
Avoid These 2 Pitfalls In Fixed Income Investing
Recent insights from Natixis Investment Managers breaks down a few fixed income risks that investors may not be aware of.
BlackRock Targets Money-Market Fund Business in New ETF Push
BlackRock Inc. is throwing its weight behind an early push to bring exchange-traded funds to money-market investors.
Calamos S&P 500® Structured Alt Protection ETF – (CPSN)
VettaFi’s Head of Research Todd Rosenbluth discussed the Calamos S&P 500® Structured Alt Protection ETF – November (CPSN) on this week’s “ETF of the Week” podcast with Chuck Jaffe of “Money Life.”
S&P 500 Is on Track for Its 50th Record This Year
Stocks rose at the end of their best week in 2024 after solid consumer sentiment data and bets that newly elected President Donald Trump’s pro-growth agenda will keep fueling Corporate America.
More Money Market Substitutes Taking Shape
Investors have been married to their money market funds for the better part of the last two years.
The Bond Market Update: What You Need to Know
Things are looking up for bonds - learn what makes them a great addition to your portfolio right now.
2024 Economic & Market Outlook: The Final Stretch
Here we are, another calendar quarter down with one more to go in 2024, and investors have yet to see a “hard landing” emerge.
Private Credit’s Banking Romance May Turn Sour
To understand the wave of bank partnerships with private-credit fund managers during the past year or so, think back to the boom in mortgage lending through securitization in the early 2000s. The same forces are at work: a huge demand for finance, limited and costly bank capital and investment bankers’ ingenuity and desire to generate business.
Look at Duration During Fed Rate Cutting Cycles
Volatile interest rates have spurred investment capital into motion. Clients often ask where they should allocate on the yield curve.
Fixed Income Market Update
The FOMC lowered the Fed Funds rate by 50 basis points at their September meeting. This was the first cut in over four years and the start of what is expected to be a multi-year easing cycle.
Is College 529 Financial Planning Really That Simple?
It's important to stay informed regarding the latest updates to 529 college savings plans, for both current account holders and prospective savers. In recent years there have been significant changes, including The Setting Every Community Up for Retirement Enhancement (SECURE) 2.0 Act in December of 2022, which helps enhance the flexibility and benefits of 529 plans.
Investing in an Era of Flouted Rules
The tendency to blindly follow these rules has led investors towards prematurely de-risking and over-estimating the likelihood of recession.
The Multifaceted Impact of Federal Reserve Easing Cycles on Financial Markets
Fed easing cycles and lowered target interest rates impact various economic sectors, such as mortgages, consumer credit and cash investments.
Subsets and Sensibility
One of most dangerous habits of a speculative crowd is the tendency to use unconditional averages and unconditional probabilities regardless of how extreme market conditions have become. This is like stepping into a house with two rooms, one with the temperature at 0 degrees and one at 140 degrees, and expecting a temperature of 70 either way.
Volatility: What to Do During Turbulence
Turbulent market conditions can make anyone nervous. Here's what investors should know about dealing with them.
Inflation Bites Into Cash Investments. Instead, Opt for Equities
Cash strategies may seem safe, but inflation can bite into returns. Instead, investors can try to outperform inflation with equities.
U.S. Versus International Stock Performance
U.S. stocks have handily outperformed their global peers over the past few decades, as well as in the post-World War II period. We document the scale of the outperformance and ask whether it can continue.
Hard or Soft?
Everything I’ve learned and experienced in 50+ years of watching the economy tells me not to expect a soft landing. But maybe that’s because I’ve never actually seen one.
Fed Rate Cuts Signal Economic Shift: What’s Next for Investors?
As the Fed shifts its stance, investors must now weigh the broader economic implications.
Bank Earnings Start as Lower Rate Impact Debated
After the Fed's 50-basis-point rate cut, big banks kick off earnings season amid fears that lower rates could hurt the net-interest income that propelled growth the last two years.
The “Everything Market” Could Last A While Longer
We are currently in the “everything market.” It doesn’t matter what you have probably invested in; it is currently increasing in value. However, it isn’t likely for the reasons you think. A recent Marketwatch interview with the always bullish Jim Paulson got his reasoning for the rally.
Fixed-Income Outlook: Strategies for a Controlled Descent
We expect bond yields to trend gradually lower—but it may be a bumpy ride. These seven strategies may help investors take advantage.
7 Reasons to Consider Municipal Bonds Now
We believe municipal bonds currently offer a compelling balance of risk and reward for investors in higher tax brackets.
The Appeal of Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities in a Shifting Economic Landscape
While agency mortgage-backed securities offer compelling valuations, not every mortgage is created equally.
For Retirees, Interest Rates & Inflation Remain Risks
The last two years brought challenges for investors across all walks of life, but particularly for retirees.
The $6.3 Trillion Money-Market Industry Just Got Its First ETF
A new exchange-traded fund attempting to carve out a slice of the $6.3 trillion sitting in traditional money-market funds is launching Wednesday.
Fixed Income Strategy as the Economic Cycle Takes a Turn
Fixed income strategy and opportunities have remained relatively unchanged over the past few months. However, the much-talked-about monetary policy change has commenced.
Asking a Better Question
On September 18, the Federal Reserve cut the Federal funds rate, as expected, announcing at the same time that the Fed will continue to reduce its balance sheet. In my view, both of these decisions were appropriate. The Fed reduced short-term rates by 50 basis points, which was consistent with economic conditions that remain near the threshold of recession.
Considering Moving Out of T-bills? A Guide to Determine What’s Next in Your Portfolio
Since mid-2022, when the Federal Reserve was in the midst of its aggressive hiking cycle, investors piled over $1.6 trillion into money market funds, which include Treasury bills.
The What-Why-When-How Guide to Owning Emerging Debt
As GMO celebrates its 30th anniversary managing emerging debt this year, we offer our comprehensive guide to emerging debt markets. Given the tumultuous recent events – a global pandemic, defaults, repricing of interest rates, relentless strength in the U.S. dollar – we’ll focus on the Why as a starting point. Then we’ll dive into the proliferating How, covering strategies and vehicles.
The Federal Reserve Just Slashed Rates by 50 Basis Points
With the decision on Wednesday to lower interest rates (for the first time since March of 2020) by a substantial 50 basis points (bps), rather than the 25 bps cut we typically see at the beginning of an easing cycle, the Fed is showing confidence that the disinflation trend will continue.
Getting Back to Normal: The Yield Curve
The yield curve measures the difference between short-term, intermediate-term, and long-term Treasury yields.
El-Erian Says Cash on Sidelines Is Minimizing Bond Market Losses
Investors are using their massive cash piles to lock in attractive yields in global bond markets, helping to limit losses in the asset class, according to Mohamed El-Erian.
Who’s Going to Win the U.S. Presidential Election? For Markets, Does It Really Matter?
Regardless of which administration takes power after an election, a balanced portfolio has made strong gains in the years immediately after.
Do AAA CLOs Still Make Sense in a Declining Rate Environment?
On the back of recent cooling in economic growth, an uptick in unemployment, and moderating inflation, the Federal Reserve (Fed) looks set to begin its rate-cutting cycle at its September meeting.
The Time Has Come
We are entering a time I think will include a deep crisis. We are going to need each other. We really do need to “find our tribe.”
Two in the Bush: Still Time to Lock in Long-Term Rates
We often write about the opportunity for fixed income investors to lock in relatively attractive long-term rates. And we would argue that investment consultants and financial advisors have no more important charge than to convince their clients to take advantage of this while they still can.
A Slow Moving Economic Cycle
When we’re viewing markets, it’s not surprising sentiment shifts quickly if we don’t instantly see the anticipated results. Market pundits quickly point fingers and determine the Fed, economists, and participants are wrong. Reactions can be powerful in number and sway momentum for stocks and/or bonds.
JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF (JPST)
On this episode of the “ETF of the Week” podcast, VettaFi’s Head of Research Todd Rosenbluth discussed the JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF (JPST) with Chuck Jaffe of “Money Life.” The pair talked about several topics regarding the fund to give investors a deeper understanding of the ETF overall.
The Tax Implications of Your Short-Term Investments
As tax season draws nearer, advisors and investors increasingly look to their portfolio to optimize exposures for taxation purposes.
Yield Curve Shifts Offer Signals for Stockholders
The level of U.S. Treasury yields and the changing shape of the Treasury yield curve provide investors with critical feedback regarding the market’s expectations for economic growth, inflation, and monetary policy
Gradually, then Suddenly: Financing the Nation’s Growing Debt
Elevated budget deficits imply growing US Treasury issuance. Receding demand from central banks could leave more price-sensitive buyers to pick up the slack. Who are the buyers of US government debt, and how is the market responding? In part two of our series, let’s examine Treasury market supply and demand.
‘T-Bill and Chill’ Is a Hard Habit for Investors to Break
It’s been the ultimate no-brainer for more than a year: Park your money in super-safe Treasury bills, earn yields of more than 5%, rinse and repeat. Or as billionaire bond investor Jeffrey Gundlach put it last October, “T-bill and chill.”
Stealth QE Or Rubbish From Dr. Doom?
A recent article co-authored by Stephen Miran and Dr. Nouriel Roubini, aka Dr. Doom, accuses the U.S. Treasury Department of using its debt-issuance powers to manipulate financial conditions.
Five Big Questions for the Fed at Jackson Hole
When US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks at next week’s annual economic conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, people will be listening intently for any hint about what the central bank will do with interest rates at its September policy making meeting.
Diversify Your Income Portfolio Without Sacrificing Yields
The KraneShares Sustainable Ultra Short Duration Index ETF (KCSH) offers low risk income investing with notable yields and diversification.
Long-Term Strategic Fixed Income Allocation
The flexibility offered through individual bonds translates well for tailoring individual financial goals and needs.
Heightened Volatility
Hastily, investors have turned their worry about inflation into worry about a recession. The catalyst was Friday’s unexpectedly disappointing unemployment number.
Deep Dive with State Street’s Chief Gold Strategist
State Street’s George Milling-Stanley goes in-depth on the current gold market, physical gold ETFs, and crypto. VettaFi’s Roxanna Islam explores the world of defined outcome ETFs.
Does Dollar Cost Averaging Affect Investment Results?
Dollar cost averaging involves committing money to the stock market gradually, rather than all at once. This time spent out of the market leads to lower returns, but also to commensurately lower risk.
Bank of England Cuts Rates Despite Taylor Swift Inflation Effect
The members of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) are probably not intimately familiar with Taylor Swift’s back catalogue. If they were, Swift’s hit “Cruel Summer” may have been ringing in their ears when cutting rates today for the first time since March 2020.
Index Investing as an Active Decision: Implications for Equity Investors
Today’s passive index investing requires active choices, as customization and innovations in index funds have resulted in new considerations for investors and the potential for greater control.
Muhlenkamp & Company Quarterly Letter – July 2024
Jeff and Ron discuss the state of the economy, inflation, the bond and stock markets, and they outline, in broad terms, their current investments.
Fed Week – Is a Rate Cut on Deck?
We are approaching a turning point in policy decisions as the FOMC attempts to walk the fine line of hitting their inflation targets while maintaining a healthy labor market.
Traders Eye Fed, BOJ Rate Talks With Markets Roiled by Earnings
Volatility is back — at least a little — heading in to a week filled with central bank interest-rate decisions and quarterly earnings for some of the world’s biggest companies.
U.S. ETF Flows: Investors Are Getting Polarized
It's been another strong first half for the U.S. ETF industry, with overall flows set to challenge or surpass historic records.
Navigating the Markets: Insights From Our Q2 Economic and Market Review
The momentum we've seen in U.S. equity markets over the past year continued in the second quarter of 2024. With large technology stocks leading the wave, the S&P 500 index has risen 23% in the 12 months ended June 30.
Two-Year Treasuries See Record Investor Demand at Auction
Investors flocked to the US Treasury’s monthly sale of two-year notes in a powerful demonstration of faith in Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts beginning this year.
Private Equity Is Illiquid by Design. Why Worry About It?
A recent Financial Times opinion piece laid out how illiquidity makes private equity hazardous for investors. The Bank of England’s Nathanaël Benjamin warns private equity illiquidity is a systemic risk to the financial system.
Reinvestment Risk
There are many advantages and risks associated with any investment. Whether you are buying a stock, a house, a business, or a bond, each investment has unique characteristics that allow an investor to gain from particular investment features with varying risks.
You’re Soaking in It
The stock market is not a balloon that gets bigger when money “flows into” it. It doesn’t get smaller because money “flows out” of it. Holding the number of shares constant, the stock market gets bigger if investors pay a higher price for those shares. Period.
Why to Consider Mortgage-Backed Securities Now
Relatively high yields mean investors who have been focusing on short-term securities wouldn't need to sacrifice much yield if they chose MBS to help limit their reinvestment risk.
Try a More Tax-Efficient Small-Cap Strategy
A Structured Protection ETF like CPRJ can offer robust tax benefits for investors seeking to move cash or get exposure to small-cap equities.
Outpacing Money Markets: The Historical Yield Advantage of Short-Dated Bonds
Portfolio Manager Daniel Siluk believes subsiding inflation and declining interest rates underpin a compelling argument for investors to reallocate funds away from money market strategies toward shorter-dated bonds.
Developed Market Public Debt: Risks and Realities
In the post-pandemic fiscal landscape, government debt trajectories may be volatile, but appear broadly sustainable.
Fiduciary Duty – Theory versus Reality
Conflicts are everywhere in financial planning. They exist in all fee models, whether they be commissions, assets under management, fixed fee, or hourly. Any time money changes hands there are conflicts of interests.